Die Macht » Tyson the only thing that really matters

There was a valuable lesson contained within a $411,188.06 payout in Gulfstream Parks Rainbow Pick 6 Jackpot on Aug. 6.The handicapping genius who was the only one to correctly select all six winners made excellent use of a $2,160 bankroll, electing to use 10 of the 11 horses in one of the races.While its hardly unusual for a Pick 6 player to wheel a race (using all of the horses in that race) or include virtually all of the horses, what stood out here was the horse left off the ticket was the favorite in the race.And thats why they call it gambling.By taking a stand against the favorite -- who finished fifth -- that handicapper wound up having the $59.40 winner on that ticket and was ultimately rewarded with a life-changing payoff.While cashing a Pick 6 ticket would be a dream come true for a modest player, anyone can benefit from the wagering strategy and confidence that went into that huge payday at Gulfstream Park.As much as some handicappers like to focus their wagers on favorites so that they can cash a winning ticket more often, these chalk players are actually working against the odds. Even if favorites win 33 percent of the time, that means they lose 67 percent of the time.Its those numbers that illustrate why a handicapper would always be wise to exploit a vulnerable favorite. Youre chasing bigger payoffs, and, yes, about 67 percent of the time it makes sense to bet against the chalk.While a handicapper should always strive to pick winners, sometimes it can work out just as well when you find a race where you do not like the favorite. By spreading your wagers a little more than usual in that race, you just might cash a ticket that puts you in the black for the rest of the day.And if youre worried that the horse everyone but you seems to like will beat you, remember, about 67 percent of the time that horse will lose. So go ahead, take a chance.In case you have forgotten already, thats why they call it gambling.To help in understanding when it makes sense to latch on to a favorite or avoid it like a cold, lets take a look at whats happening at the Graveyard of Favorites, Saratoga Race Course -- which is actually embracing the chalk in a manner more befitting Aqueducts inner-track meet.From July 22 through Aug. 12, there have been 187 races at the Spa -- not including steeplechase events. In those races, the betting favorite has prevailed in 72 of them, which amounts to a very respectable rate of 38.5 percent.With so many favorites crossing the finish line first, it would seem like nirvana for chalk players. But if they tried to stretch their luck into the exotics, they are no doubt struggling.While betting the two favorites in an exacta might seem quite sensible while youre analyzing past performances, in reality betting on the two favorites in a race, in the long run, accounts for low payoffs and a low winning percentage.As much as the second choice has indeed wound up second behind the favorite more often than any other option in the wagering, your chances of cashing on the chalk running 1-2 are less than you might think.Of those 72 wins by favorites at Saratoga, on 25 occasions the second choice finished second. That might sound good in theory, but it averages out to a chalk exacta happening 13.7 percent of the time -- which is a rather low mark considering that 11 of those exactas paid $10.80 or less.Interestingly, playing the second choice over the favorite in the exacta has generated much weaker results as it has happened just nine times, or 4.8% of the time. Box the two favorites and youre winning at a rate of just 18.2% (34 of 187) -- which means youre losing 81.8% of the time.What can help in putting those numbers to work for you is an understanding of when the favorite is more likely to shine or stub its toe.In breaking those numbers down by the categories of races, turf claiming races have been a weak area for favorites.So far favorites have been victorious in just 22.7 percent of turf claimers (5 of 22 races) and have been first or second in 10 of the 22 races (45.5%).In contrast, the chalk has thrived in dirt claimers. Favorites have won 17 of 35 (48.5%) main-track claiming races and have been first or second in 25 of those 35 races for a stellar mark of 71.4%.Favorites have also excelled in dirt stakes, where they have won 7 of 15 races (46.6%) and been first or second 12 of 15 times (75%), and turf stakes, where favorites have won 6 of 9 races (66.6%) with no runner-up finishes.If youre looking for an opportunity to cast a thumbs down on a favorite, the best spots have been maiden special weight races on dirt (1 for 5, 20%), maiden special weight races for New York state-breds on dirt (0 for 4), starter allowance races on turf (0 for 4) and allowance races on turf (4 of 14, 28.5%).Keep all of those numbers in mind the next time you stumble across a favorite that you dont like. Rather than follow the pack and reluctantly back it, by sticking to your first instincts, youll actually have the percentages on your side and you could be staring at your big payoff of the day.Yes, taking a gamble can certainly have its rewards, even if youre not playing the Pick 6.For more stories like this check out Americas Best Racing. Nike Air Jordan Uk Store . Mickelson barely made the cut but had the best round of the day with nine birdies and an eagle coupled with two bogeys to sit two shots behind leader Craig Lee of Scotland. Lee shot a 69 for a 12-under 204 total. "I just love the fact I am in contention and have an opportunity in my first tournament of the year here in Abu Dhabi," Mickelson said. Air Jordan Wholesale Uk . PETERSBURG, Fla. http://www.ukairjordan.com/ . However, he did make them miss him a little less. Cundiff, who had the unenviable job of replacing Dawson last season, agreed Thursday to a one-year, $1. Cheap Discount Jordan Shoes . Walcott is available for Saturdays home match against Southampton as Arsenal looks to extend its two-point lead at the top of the Premier League. The Gunners are currently the second highest scorers in the league but Wenger insists Walcott will add something extra to his team. Nike Air Jordan Uk Store MIAMI -- It did not take long for Luis Sardinas to make an impact for the San Diego Padres.Sardinas homered and drove in four runs for the Padres in a 7-6 loss to the Miami Marlins on Friday night.I thought Luis Sardinas was outstanding, Padres manager Andy Green said. He had the bases-clearing double and the home run.Sardinas, who was 1 for 8 coming in, had a three-run double and a home run -- his third in 115 career games.The more I get into the games the more confidence I can have, Sardinas said through a translator.Chris Johnson took advantage of the Padres outfielders playing shallow with a run-scoring ground-rule double with two outs in the bottom of the ninth to give the Marlins the win.When I hit it I put my head down, I didnt get it all of it and when I was running I kind of saw where they were playing -- a little bit more shallow, obviously to try to throw somebody out at the plate, Johnson said. I was just hoping it would carry enough to get over his head. (Center fielder Travis Jankowski) almost got there. Im just glad he didnt.The Marlins scored three runs in the eighth to tie it before Johnson gave the Marlins their third walk-off win of the season.Its huge for us but also for him and his confidence, Marlins manager Don Mattingly said. Hes not getting his at bats and hes been great about it. No pouting or sulking hes just continuing to do the work and I felt good for him and for how hard he works and how hard he wants it.Johnson hit a deep fly ball to right-center field that took one bounce before landing in the Marlins bullpen. Jankowski was playing shallow and converged on the ball, but was unable to make the catch.You kind of pick your poison, you give a guy a double more than you give a guy a single to win the baseball game at that point in time, Padres manager Andy Green said. You can be back on the warning track and try to defend that, but theres not everything you can defend in that outfield. ... Were playing shallow with two strikes and he put a good swing on it and had a pitch he can handle and drove it to the warning track. It was a long run for Jankowski, but he almost got it.Martin Prado, Christian Yelich, and Marcell Ozuna each drove in two runs for the Marlins.Ryan Schimpf also homered for the Padres.Fernando Rodney (2-3) pitched an inning in relief to pick up the win.Brandon Maurer (0-4) blew the save in the eighth and lost it in the ninth, allowing four hits and one run in one inning.San Diego starter Jarred Cosart allowedd two runs and five hits over five innings in his first appearance against his former club where he spent parts of the last three seasons.dddddddddddd He was traded to San Diego in a seven-player deal involving pitcher Andrew Cashner on July 29.Cosart exited with a 5-2 lead after a blister on his middle finger on his throwing hand emerged.The Marlins scored three runs in the bottom of the eighth to tie the score at 6-6. Maurer relieved Brad Hand and entered with the bases loaded and gave up a two-run single to Prado and an RBI single to Yelich. It was Maurers fifth blown save in 11 chances.Miami starter David Phelps allowed four runs and two hits with three walks in 3 2/3 inningsOzunas RBI double and Yelichs RBI groundout gave the Marlins a 2-0 lead.The Padres took the lead with a four-run fourth keyed by Sardinas bases-clearing double as nine men went to the plate.Two outs there I was just trying to be aggressive in the zone I think was the biggest thing, Sardinas said. Trying to look for a good pitch and make good solid contact. It was a big point in the game at that point.An error by Phelps covering first base on a grounder gave the Padres a 4-2 lead and ended his night.Schimpfs home run, his 15th, into the upper deck in right field pushed the lead to 5-2. His 15 home runs are tied for the fifth-most by a Padres rookie.Sardinas made it 6-2 with a solo homer in the fifth.The Marlins pulled within three on Ozunas RBI single in the seventh.TRAINERS ROOMPadres: RHP Tyson Ross (right shoulder) made a rehab start with Class-A Lake Elsinore on Thursday allowing four runs in 2/3 of an inning. When we look at Tyson the only thing that really matters is health, manager Andy Green said. I dont really read too much into rehab starts. . I think hes going to throw another start in the minor leagues before he pitches for us. ... LHP Christian Friedrich will be skipped in the rotation to give him rest. ... CF Jon Jay (forearm) took swings inside the batting cage on Friday and is eyeing an early September return.UP NEXTPadres: LHP Clayton Richard (0-3, 4.44) will start Saturdays game. Richard is 0-2 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts this season.Marlins: RHP Jose Urena (2-4, 6.33) will make his sixth start of the season. Urena picked up his first victory as a starter this season in his last start at Pittsburgh allowing two runs in six innings. ' ' '