Die Macht » market overreactions and exploiting artificia

The Western Bulldogs have shown their fighting spirit to return to the AFL winners list, defeating North Melbourne by 14 points at Etihad Stadium.In an ill-tempered contest between two finals-bound teams, the Kangaroos targeted Marcus Bontempelli but the Dogs and their young star prevailed, winning 9.7 (61) to 7.5 (47).The 20-year-old might have expected some attention from North after calling out Lindsay Thomas for a crude tackle on Lachie Hunter in their earlier meeting this year.He was roughed up before the first bounce and found himself in the middle of melees at quarter-time and halftime.Bontempelli wore the jumper punches and the bumps well, responding with a best-afield performance (15 kicks, nine tackles and a goal) in a strong team performance to snap a two-game losing streak.The win both keeps alive the Bulldogs top-four ambitions and delivers a hammer blow to North Melbournes own hopes.The Kangaroos are likely to be two wins outside the top four by rounds end and must play the top three clubs - Hawthorn, Sydney and GWS Giants - in their final three fixtures.Much could depend on an injury to key tall Ben Brown, who left the match early in the second quarter after hurting his already-strapped left knee.North went almost an hour without a goal after Brown departed.Already missing forward Jarrad Waite, the Kangaroos looked toothless when the mop-haired Tasmanian went down.In contrast, the slow-starting Bulldogs warmed into the contest and had plenty of routes to goal, with nine different goalkickers on a low-scoring night.Easton Wood was super in defence for the Bulldogs, with Jason Johannisen full of run.North mounted a challenge in the third term only for Jed Anderson - who was earlier reported for a hit on Lin Jong - to miss a simple set shot that would have brought them within two points.Less than a minute later, Lachie Hunter (21 possessions) kicked a fine running goal to keep the Dogs on top.In his 100th AFL match, Jamie Macmillan was North Melbournes best.The sour note for Bulldogs coach Luke Beveridge was yet another injury, a concussion to Clay Smith that ended his night after 10 minutes.Beveridge said it went without saying he was proud of his team.They were enormous tonight, our boys, he said.Showed a lot of heart. It was a great defensive effort to keep North Melbourne to that score.Twenty-two really solid contributors.North Melbourne lost Scott Thompson in the final term to a groin injury.Roos coach Brad Scott said they had their chances but made too many errors.When you dominate parts of the game - disposals - but dont score and get scored against, youre doing something wrong, he said.We over-possessed the ball under pressure ... on balance they deserved their victory tonight.Ranger Suarez Jersey . PETERSBURG, Fla. Nick Pivetta Jersey . -- Charlie Graham stopped 67 shots as the Belleville Bulls edged the visiting Guelph Storm 6-5 on Saturday in Ontario Hockey League action. https://www.cheapphilliesjerseys.us/1887n-zach-eflin-jersey-phillies.html . Kozun faked to the forehand and beat Monsters starter, Calvin Pickard, pad side in the second round for the winner. Spencer Abbott also scored in the shootout for the Marlies (25-13-4). Manny Trillo Jersey . The Swede became the first golfer to win the PGA Tours FedEx Cup and European Tours Race to Dubai in the same season. "It is still taking a little time to sink in what Ive achieved this week as was the case when I won the FedEx Cup but then it just kept getting better and better as the days went on and I am sure this will be the same," he said. Arquimedes Gamboa Jersey . With the short-handed Warriors needing help from someone -- anyone -- to stop a three-game skid, ONeal returned from right knee and groin injuries that had sidelined him for four games and put up season highs with 18 points and eight rebounds. It was just enough to help lift Golden State to a 102-101 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday night.The goal of this weekly column is to extract contrarian value by capitalizing on market overreactions and exploiting artificially inflated lines. By utilizing our Bet Labs software, Im able to create data-driven betting systems that exploit the predictable tendencies of casual football bettors. These strategies invariably involve taking unders and underdogs but, contrary to popular belief, there are occasionally instances where the over or favorite might offer enough value to make it worth the price.Several weeks ago I explained how weather connditions can impact NFL over/unders, and why bettors should place significance on swift wind speeds as opposed to cold temperatures or precipitation.dddddddddddd But what other factors impact the total? Since theres three times more money placed on the spread than the total, theres limited value betting against the public -- so what factors should bettors consider when betting on totals?Public bettors overwhelmingly ' ' '